Tuesday, September 20, 2011

TODAY'S TOPICS: Obama Back?, Taxing the Rich, Class Warfare, The Matrix, Sanders, Social Security, Climate Change v. Terrorism

Is Candidate Obama Back? Yes and No

Okay, let me say, regardless if this is all a cynical load of shit coming from this guy in order to win re-election…I’m STILL happy to see him take the gloves off and start arguing, ARTICULATELY, for higher taxes on the rich.

Obama proposed, in a major TV press event, new taxes on the wealthy — including a special new tax for millionaires, the closing of loopholes and deductions for people making more than $250,000 a year, and an end to the portion of the Bush tax cut going to higher incomes.

Of course, Republicans accuse the President of instigating “class warfare” …which is probably the most ironic, Orwellian GOP talking point in their quiver…because there is indeed a class war going on….and the top 1% are winning. We should also be clear, it’s not warfare to demand the rich pay their fair share of taxes to bring down America’s long-term debt and invest in the future…warfare is giving more tax breaks to the top while cutting education, public safety, health care and food stamps in order to pay for those tax cuts.

After all, the richest 1 percent of Americans now takes home more than 20 percent of total income…400 families have more wealth than the bottom 60% of Americans combined, and the top 1% have more wealth than the bottom 90% COMBINED. That’s the highest share going to the top 1 percent in almost 90 years….YET, they now pay their lowest tax rates in half a century — half the rate they paid on ordinary income prior to 1981.

Of course, as Robert Reich pointed out, the President didn’t go far enough…particularly leaving out the most glaring tax loophole of all: capital gains. Reich states, “Unfortunately, the President isn’t proposing to raise the capital-gains tax — which, now at 15 percent, creates a loophole large enough for the super-rich to drive their Ferrari’s through. About 80 percent of the income of America’s richest 400 comes in the form of capital gains. Here’s where billionaire hedge-fund and private-equity fund managers make out like bandits. As I’ve noted, I also wish he aimed higher — for more brackets and higher rates at the very top. But at least he’s drawn a line in the sand. The veto message is clear.)”

So, for the very richest Americans the successive capital gains tax cuts from Presidents Clinton (to 20 percent) and Bush (to 15 percent) have been "better than any Christmas gift":

While it's true that many middle-class Americans own stocks or bonds, they tend to stash them in tax-sheltered retirement accounts, where the capital gains rate does not apply. By contrast, the richest Americans reap huge benefits. Over the past 20 years, more than 80 percent of the capital gains income realized in the United States has gone to 5 percent of the people; about half of all the capital gains have gone to the wealthiest 0.1 percent.

With U.S. income inequality at its highest level in 80 years and the total federal tax burden at its lowest in 60, the last thing America needs to do is further reduce the capital gains tax. As a decade of data shows, the Treasury-draining Bush capital gains and dividend tax windfall for the wealthy not only failed to produce employment gains from America's so-called "job creators." As the Washington Post detailed, "capital gains tax rates benefiting wealthy feed [the] growing gap between rich and poor." Nevertheless, most Republicans are calling for a new capital gains tax rate: zero.

Now, this could all be a ruse…setting us progressives up to believe ‘the real Obama’ has finally come, and he’s had enough of the GOP backstabbing, deceit, and disinformation…when in fact he knows full well NO tax increases will actually take place (again….the REAL test will be whether he extends the Bush tax cuts again)…and then, the Super Committee (which he created) will DEVASTATE the New Deal and safety net as he lamely will protest.

And put that in some California context, more than 6 million people in the Golden State, more than 2 million of them children, lived in poverty last year, an increase for the sixth straight year. One in four California families lack enough money to buy food at times for themselves or their families. The poll also revealed that of the top 20 metropolitan areas in the nation facing food hardship, four are in California. 

I hope TO GOD that’s my cynical, skeptical mind at play…but being that Obama has betrayed us about 1000 times now…I hope you don’t blame me for this. What’s that saying, “fool me once, shame on you, fool me 10,000 fucking times shame on me?”

But let’s stick to the positive…his plan, as you can see him argue for here (again I ask…”where has this guy been?????”), and you can go to my last blog for more details, has all kinds of smart, specific, tax increases on the SUPER WEALTHY in this country. Without such tax increases, there is NO SAVING any public programs, nor is there a way to adequately invest in our future.
In other words, it’s either taxing the super rich and corporations, or continue our slide into Banana Republic land. 

The Dark Elephant in the Room: Super Committee, Foreclosures

I should also mention, that in his “deficit reduction plan” (remember, this is the WRONG FRAME), included are some pretty devastating cuts for those in the most trouble, including $3.5 billion cut to the Public Health and Prevention Fund, which was just enacted last year as part of the Affordable Care Act. This fund would “assist state and community efforts to prevent illness and promote health”, and HHS has already started giving grants. It’s targeted at things like identifying chronic diseases and targeting specific actions, like poor diet, tobacco and alcohol use, or physical inactivity, that can lead to them. 

What we REALLY need to watch for then, is the Super Committee and the cuts it comes up with. Remember, those cuts DRASTICALLY outweigh any jobs spending he’s proposing…thus WIPING out any “stimulus”. There’s also another strangely absent point to all this “economic expertise” being debated in DC: the foreclosure crisis!

AS David Dayen points out, there’s a strange contradiction at work here, stating “It is a bit incredible that you can have a wide-ranging jobs program, and major plans distributed by the White House on all areas of the economy, and yet one of the major impediments to economic performance, the sick housing market, barely enters the discussion. More bad news on the housing front came today, with housing starts declining. Housing starts have been flat for two and a half years, with construction at the lowest pace since records began being kept in 1959 (around 600,000 homes are being built a year; in brighter economic times you would see as much as 2 million). All of this is happening while the population grows. The rot in the housing market and the collapse of the bubble has led to a housing sector not filling the needs of the public, while the public reacts to the Lesser Depression by moving into multi-family units. This is just a small part of the problem.”

But let’s get back to the big fight now coming…taxing the rich and the reality of “class warfare”….Because this IS THE FIGHT of our time (among others). So let’s get our facts straight. As Joshua Holland points out,in 1979, those in the top 10th of 1 percent of the American economic ladder took in 1.11 percent of the nation's income, but by 2008, they were grabbing 5 percent. Those extremely wealthy few didn't become five times smarter and aren't working five times harder than they were in the late '70s, and the seismic shift in our economic structures wasn't an accident: the upward redistribution of wealth in this country has been a direct result of policies for which those at the top have lobbied hard – labor policies, trade deals, cuts to the social services that lifted some of those at the bottom out of poverty and a tax structure that shifted a big chunk of the burden from corporations and the wealthiest to ordinary working families.”

Another CRITICAL point, is how our Matrix has so totally mislead and deluded the American public…because most believe that we live in a meritocracy...in reality, only around 3 percent of Americans are actually millionaires (or were before the crash of 2008), but in 2003, almost one in three told Gallup that they expected to be millionaires at some point in their lives. A 2006 poll found that more than half of those surveyed believed “Almost anyone can get rich if they put their mind to it.”

As Holland again notes, this goes to the heart of the conservative myth creators Matrix we live in, stating Conservative discourse about the “undeserving” poor being where they are because of some inherent personal faults might make some sense if we were all born with the same opportunities to get ahead. Tragically, however, in today’s economy, the single greatest predictor of how much an American child will earn in the future is how much his or her parents take home.
 
But, according to a study of public opinion in 25 wealthy countries, Americans are almost twice as likely as those in other advanced economies to believe that “people get rewarded for intelligence and skill.” At the same time, fewer than one in five say that coming from a wealthy family is “essential” or “very important” to getting ahead—significantly lower than the 25-country average. It’s impossible to overstate the impact these beliefs have on our policy debates. Americans are less than half as likely as people in other wealthy nations to believe that it’s “the responsibility of government to reduce differences in income.”

In reality, the United States’ much-ballyhooed upward mobility is a myth, and it appears to be getting worse with each new generation. Several studies released in recent years suggest that Americans enjoy significantly less upward mobility than do the citizens of a number of other industrialized nations. German workers have 1.5 times the upward movement of Americans, Canada’s economy is nearly 2.5 times as mobile, and Denmark is three times as mobile. Norway, Finland, Sweden, and France (France!) are all more upwardly mobile societies than the United States. Of the countries included in the studies, the United States ranked near the bottom; only in the United Kingdom was it tougher to shake off a low social status one had been born with.

What's more, an American in today’s workforce is just as likely to experience downward mobility as he or she is to move up in the world. A study conducted by Julia Isaacs, a fellow with the Economic Mobility Project, used a unique set of data that allowed her to directly compare the incomes of Americans in the late 1990s and the early 2000s with the incomes of their parents’ generation in the late 1960s. She categorized families as belonging to one of four groups: the “upwardly mobile,” who do better relative to their parents; those “riding the tide,” families that earn more than their parents did but remain in the same relative position on the economic ladder; those “falling despite the tide,” a small group who are earning more than their parents did but who nonetheless fell into a lower position on the ladder; and those who are “downwardly mobile.” The key take-away was that American families are just as likely to be downwardly mobile—33 percent fall into this group—as they are to join the 34 percent who move up.

The other part of the lie is that safety net programs are THE SOURCE of our problems rather than a key solution…as they are. Again, the facts tell the story: There’s also an inverse relationship between how robust a country’s social safety net is and the degree to which working families face the prospect of downward mobility. For example, countries that have generous unemployment benefits show a clear trend: offering displaced workers more assistance (a) extends the period of unemployment (which tends to be the focus of most conservatives) and (b) also means that when working people do reenter the workforce, they do so at a higher average wage.

There’s a similar dynamic in terms of health care: people with access to paid sick leave and other health benefits switch jobs less frequently than those who don’t enjoy those benefits, and as a result, they have longer average tenure and higher earnings.

Now, back to Obama’s tax plan and what the battle he has set off…because of course, the House GOP leadership, a fascist terrorist network, has stated that they support 1/44th of the overall price tag, about 2% of the total bill….and, it’s the worst part anyway. 

And unfortunately, while I like the President’s tax plan…I still am dumbfounded by the fact that the jobs plan is 57% tax cuts and 43% spending initiatives. And, we’ll see if he backs down so much to the GOP (and we knows how much he loves taking it from behind) that we end up with something whittled down to what the GOP supports: an $11 billion tax cut plan.

Here’s the key though….yes, I’m happy that Obama has chosen to make this election and this fight over taxes on the rich and jobs…but, is it all just a “game” to keep us thinking we actually have a choice (think the Matrix)? Will we ever see any of these tax increases? And, will he actually fight for them post election? Or worse, what happens when the Super Committee comes with its cuts? 

The American Matrix

Many of the values Americans hold dear are at risk if this trend continues:

-- Land of equal opportunity? Some 27 percent of African Americans were living below the poverty level, a 2 percentage point increase from the previous year and nearly triple the rate of whites in poverty.
-- Generational advancement? The survey suggests a growing number of young single people would be living in poverty if not provided refuge with friends and relatives.
-- Hard work gets rewarded? The difficulty in finding a job pervades the report: Payroll jobs fell by 600,000 in 2010, and 48 million people between 18 and 64 did not work even one week during the year.

Perhaps the biggest toll is on this nation's innate sense of optimism that, no matter how bleak or bullish the moment, better times lie ahead. Median household income, adjusted for inflation, dropped to 1997 levels - the longest span of flat wages since the Great Depression. Meanwhile, Washington remains mired in partisanship and finger-pointing. If this report does not set off alarms, and instill a sense of bipartisan urgency, then nothing will.

To understand how we got here we must go back to the roots of the right wing shift in the 1970's, particularly once Reagan took over...it begins with the southern strategy...appealing to racist inclinations of the south...add to that the "guns, gays, and abortion" appeals...largely through appealing to peoples religious and bigoted inclinations. 

Add to that the takeover of mass media, particularly right wing talk radio and Fox News...to keep a perpetual cacophony of lies and propaganda going...creating a kind of "shell of false information" that people could live in. Add to that the creation of corporate funded think tanks that spit out phony studies to back up right wing ideological predispositions. Add to that the giant tax cuts and giveaways to the rich and corporations....thereby giving those interests FAR more power and influence over congress and the media than ever before. Add to that the dismantling of unions...thus weakening the middle class and stripping a lot of the influence they have over the Democratic party. Add to that the continued deterioration of the corporate media's coverage of ISSUES and facts, not games and corporate propaganda...and the list goes on and on.

You start putting all that together what you see is a "matrix" created that plays to peoples fears and ignorance....keeps them voting against their own interests...and associating their interests with those of corporate interests...who were behind this entire strategy birthed in the 1970's by right wing puppeteers to come up with a way to take back control after nearly 40 years of domination by the Democrats due to successful public policy achievements (all opposed by Republicans) from the New Deal to the Square Deal to Kennedy to the Great Society.

The right and the corporate power brokers needed to figure out how to get people to vote against things that benefit them, and for things that benefit the top 1%...and that's what has happened...in a nutshell....

All I’m saying is we must go into this GOOD NEWS with our eyes WIDE OPEN…

Taxes and Social Security

I want to get back to this whole social security versus taxes issue, because to the GOP’s great pain, their man Rick Perry has come out and said what they all actually believe: it’s a ponzi scheme (they don’t really believe that…but that’s what they want people to think so they can get rid of it…because it doesn’t help the super rich and Wall Street can’t touch it). So the GOP hierarchy is very worried about Perry…even though he has the W. strut that appeal to the knuckle dragging base.

As for actually “fixing” (the most successful program in history) social security…which is running a $2.6 trillion surplus and will cover EVERYONE for nearly 30 years without tinkering with it at all…and its paid, EVERY SENIOR, on time, for nearly 50 years, that’s easy…just adjust the payroll tax - which finances BOTH Social Security and Medicare – which today has a ceiling at $106,800. As Bernie Sanders has argued, just start implementing that small tax again on incomes AFTER $250,000…so people that make between those two numbers aren’t perhaps unduly effected by the tax increase.

Again, it’s a great gift for the GOP to make this election about Medicare and Social Security…and now that Obama has taken to fighting for taxing the rich, and has seemed to backtrack on cutting those programs, the Dems are in a much better spot. Again though….is this all a ruse?

As David Dayen notes, “It is important to note for starters that Social Security is not in crisis, despite Perry's claims that the system is "a monstrous lie" and "bankrupt." With a $2.5 trillion surplus, as the New York Times noted, "Government projections have Social Security exhausting its reserves by 2037, absent any changes, but show that the payroll tax revenues coming in would cover more than three-quarters of benefits to recipients then." With simple changes to benefits, eligibility and most importantly, funding, Social Security can easily be made sound for generations to come. Citizens for Tax Justice and the New York Times each estimated that extending the payroll tax to income over $250,000 a year (as candidate Obama and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders proposed) would deliver about $50 billion annually in new revenue for the Treasury. And as the Times suggested in November, the move is long overdue...

There simply is NO escaping the fact that privatizing social security would divert trillions of dollars from Social Security and thus build a new mountain of federal debt….while enriching Wall Street and endangering seniors. The program Rick Perry said was a “Ponzi scheme” kept 14 million seniors out of poverty last year

Climate Change Versus Terrorism

Just a quick note on something I’ve become quite an expert on in all my work on privacy issues…fear, and its power. As reporter Matthew Stannard summarized, they found that three things could be expected every time the Bush administration talked up the threat of terrorism: “The media will repeat the president's remarks. Public fear of terrorism will increase. And the president's poll numbers will rise.”

As Crooks and Liars points out, “Such is not the case talking about tornadoes, floods or hurricanes. That political calculus explains why, if an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure, we get a ton of prevention to head off terror attacks and only crumbs to prepare for the far deadlier threats represented by extreme weather events…. "

Last year, the National Academy of scientists surveyed 1,372 climate researchers and found that 98 percent of them believe human activities are changing our climate (one has to presume the other 2 percent are working for Exxon). For those of us who aren't gullible enough to buy into wild conspiracy theories about climatologists fudging their data in order to push a socialist agenda on an unsuspecting world, the risks are very real. According to Scientific American, “A host of studies, including a recent one from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, have shown that global warming is already worse than predicted even a few years ago. The only question is: Will it be catastrophic or not?”

“But all of a sudden the European heat wave of 2003 comes along and kills 50,000, [Hurricane] Katrina comes along and there's a lot of data about the increased intensity of droughts and floods. Plus, the dramatic melting of Greenland that nobody can explain certainly has to increase your concern...Everywhere we looked, there was evidence that what was believed to be likely has happened. Nature has been cooperating with [climate change] theory unfortunately."

Last year, 15 Americans were killed in acts of terror. That's worldwide. Here at home, 33 Americans – more than twice as many – succumbed to fatal dog bites. And 19 died last year after being struck by lightning. In fact, as I noted back in 2006, American deaths from terror attacks outpaced those from lightning strikes in only one of the 10 years prior to the invasion of Iraq – 2001, the year of the 9/11 attacks.

VIDEO SECTION

Back to solutions…and to Bernie Sanders who, courageous as he is, has leaked confidential data about oil speculation to a number of media outlets, including the Wall Street Journal. Ordinarily, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the regulatory body that oversees futures trading, does not provide identities of speculators to the public. However, the data leaked by Sanders provides a rare snapshot into the trading volumes by major speculators right before the oil price spike in the summer of 2008. 

As experts from Stanford University, Rice University, the University of Massachusetts, and authorities have concluded, rampant oil speculation was the prime driver of the record high prices for crude oil three years ago. 

Watch the piece…or read his o-ed


More on Social Security from Robert Reich…because that’s another BIG DEBATE coming this next election…the New Deal and whether to destroy it…which Perry has clearly laid out this battleground:


Chris Hayes doing his thing as the new MSNBC host…one of the REAL good signs of hope…that this network is giving people like him, Maddow, and so forth a chance to reach the public:


Where are the Democratic representatives to advocate for the President's plan?


FROM C&L: Stephen Colbert had a bit of fun with the latest ridiculous attack on President Obama from Fox "News" -- Shockingly Petty: News Corp. Outlets Attack Obama Over Paper Clip


Our corporate media largely ignored the protests that are still going on this week in New York…big protests against Wall Street, just as there was at the White House a few weeks ago to stop the oil pipeline….yet NOTHING…imagine if it was the teabaggers?


A good question from CNN’S Jack Cafferty (who has been HUGELY disappointing of late): How much will it hurt Rick Perry that nearly 1 in 5 Texans live in poverty?:

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